The public often underestimates the Atlanta Falcons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Atlanta Falcons hold a record of 30-16-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record30-16-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size46 games
ROI+24.5%
Units Won+11.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20152-1-00.0%+27.3%
20162-1-00.0%+27.3%
20174-2-00.0%+27.3%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20194-0-00.0%+90.9%
20201-3-00.0%-52.3%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20224-2-00.0%+27.3%
20234-2-00.0%+27.3%
20244-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Falcons' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to elevate their play when expectations are lowered. This franchise has historically thrived in the undervalued role, where the pressure shifts from meeting high expectations to proving doubters wrong. Atlanta's offensive system, built around explosive passing attacks and creative play-calling, becomes particularly dangerous when opponents prepare for what they perceive as a lesser threat. The psychological edge cannot be understated. When favored, the Falcons often carry the weight of expectation in a market that has endured decades of heartbreak. As underdogs, that burden lifts, allowing players to play with the freedom that unlocks their considerable talent. The team's coaching staff has also shown a tendency to implement more aggressive game plans when facing superior competition, leading to strategic advantages that oddsmakers don't fully capture. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Atlanta enters games with something to prove, particularly against divisional rivals or in primetime spots where narrative drives motivation. This trend holds the most value in road games against quality opponents, where the market typically overadjusts for Atlanta's perceived weaknesses while undervaluing their ability to rise to the occasion.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Falcons's ATS record as as underdog?

The Atlanta Falcons have a 30-16-0 record against the spread (ATS) when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 65.2% ATS win rate over 46 games.

Is betting on the Atlanta Falcons as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Atlanta Falcons as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 24.5% return on investment (ROI). This strong ROI indicates consistent value when backing Atlanta in underdog situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Falcons' 65.2% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 24.5% ROI also exceeds what most teams deliver in underdog spots, making them one of the more reliable underdog plays.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.