The data suggests caution when backing the Atlanta Falcons in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Atlanta Falcons are just 23-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.6%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record23-24-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size47 games
ROI-6.6%
Units Won-3.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-0-00.0%+90.9%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20182-2-00.0%-4.5%
20193-2-00.0%+14.6%
20202-3-00.0%-23.6%
20213-3-00.0%-4.5%
20224-3-00.0%+9.1%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Falcons' struggles after victories stem from a combination of organizational inconsistency and psychological letdowns that have plagued the franchise for over a decade. Atlanta has historically been a team that rides emotional waves rather than maintaining steady preparation and execution week-to-week. When they secure a win, particularly against quality opponents, there's often a visible drop in intensity and focus the following week. This pattern reflects deeper issues with coaching consistency and leadership transitions the franchise has endured. The Falcons have cycled through multiple head coaches and coordinators since their Super Bowl run, creating an environment where players haven't developed the championship-level habits needed to stack successful performances. Their offensive identity has shifted repeatedly, making it difficult to build sustainable momentum even when things click for a single game. The team's salary cap constraints from previous years have also forced them to rely heavily on younger players and depth pieces who may lack the experience to handle success professionally. These players often struggle with the mental side of maintaining peak performance after achieving a breakthrough win. This trend becomes most valuable for bettors when the Falcons are coming off upset victories or emotional divisional wins, particularly as road favorites the following week.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Atlanta Falcons's ATS record as after a win?

The Atlanta Falcons have gone 23-24-0 against the spread (ATS) in games following a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.9% ATS win rate over 47 total games.

Is betting on the Atlanta Falcons as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Atlanta Falcons after a win has not been profitable, showing a -6.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 23-24 ATS record indicates they've failed to cover the spread more often than not in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Falcons' 48.9% ATS win rate after wins is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for ATS performance. The -6.6% ROI suggests underperformance compared to break-even betting expectations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.