Arizona Cardinals As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Arizona Cardinals are just 9-37-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -62.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +62.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2022 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' historically poor performance as favorites stems from a franchise culture that has long struggled with consistency and execution when expectations are elevated. Arizona has operated as a perennial underdog organization, and their players and coaching staff often seem more comfortable in that role than when tasked with closing out games they're supposed to win. The team's chronic issues with late-game management become magnified when laying points. Former coach Kliff Kingsbury's Cardinals were notorious for strong starts followed by second-half collapses, particularly problematic when needing to cover spreads rather than simply win games. The franchise has also dealt with inconsistent quarterback play and defensive lapses that tend to surface at the worst possible moments when favored. Arizona's roster construction has typically favored explosive playmakers over steady, reliable contributors. This creates a boom-or-bust dynamic that works well when catching points but becomes a liability when expected to control games. The desert heat factor at home games can also work against them as favorites, as visiting teams often play with desperation while the Cardinals may lack the killer instinct to put games away. This trend matters most in divisional games and primetime spots where the Cardinals historically wilt under pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Arizona Cardinals's ATS record as as favorite?
The Arizona Cardinals have a 9-37-0 ATS record as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 19.6% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances by any team when favored during this period.
Is betting on the Arizona Cardinals as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Arizona Cardinals as favorites is highly unprofitable with a -62.6% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 62 cents for every dollar wagered on the Cardinals when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, where favorites typically cover around 48-52% of the time. The Cardinals' 19.6% ATS win rate as favorites is among the worst in the NFL over this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.