The data suggests caution when backing the Arizona Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the Arizona Cardinals are just 5-21-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -63.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +63.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record5-21-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size26 games
ROI-63.3%
Units Won-16.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20151-4-00.0%-61.8%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20170-2-00.0%-100.0%
20180-2-00.0%-100.0%
20190-3-00.0%-100.0%
20200-2-00.0%-100.0%
20211-4-00.0%-61.8%
20220-2-00.0%-100.0%
20241-1-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' struggles as road favorites stem from a franchise historically built around defensive identity rather than offensive dominance, making them poorly suited to carry inflated expectations on the road. Arizona has rarely possessed the type of explosive, road-tested offense that typically justifies laying points away from home. Their defensive-minded approach, while effective at home in the desert heat, often fails to translate when facing hostile environments and the pressure of being expected to win. The psychological burden of being favored away from home has consistently overwhelmed Cardinals teams that lack veteran leadership and playoff experience. When oddsmakers install them as road favorites, it typically indicates overvaluation based on recent home success or opponent weaknesses rather than Arizona's actual road capabilities. The franchise's inconsistent quarterback play over this period has amplified these issues, as signal-callers struggle with the dual pressure of hostile crowds and elevated expectations. Arizona's coaching staff has also shown a tendency toward conservative game management when favored on the road, often playing not to lose rather than imposing their will. This approach frequently results in tight games where they fail to cover spreads. This trend matters most when the Cardinals are road favorites of three points or fewer against divisional opponents, where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of perceived talent gaps.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Arizona Cardinals's ATS record as away favorite?

The Arizona Cardinals have a 5-21-0 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 19.2% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances for any team in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Arizona Cardinals as away favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Arizona Cardinals as away favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -63.3% ROI. Bettors would have lost approximately 63 cents for every dollar wagered over this 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover around 50% of spreads as away favorites. The Cardinals' 19.2% cover rate represents a massive underperformance in this betting situation.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.