Washington Wizards Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Washington Wizards are just 12-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2017 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Wizards' struggles against division rivals at home stem from a toxic combination of heightened expectations and organizational dysfunction that has plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Division games carry extra weight in the standings and playoff positioning, creating pressure situations where Washington's historically poor leadership and inconsistent roster construction become magnified. The team has repeatedly failed to develop a sustainable home court advantage, often looking tentative in moments that demand aggression against familiar opponents who know their weaknesses intimately. Washington's defensive identity crisis particularly hurts against division foes who have extensive scouting reports and can exploit their tendency to break down in late-game situations. The Wizards have shown a pattern of playing down to competition while simultaneously struggling to elevate their game when stakes are highest. Their home crowd, often frustrated by years of mediocrity, rarely provides the energy boost needed to overcome these psychological barriers. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Washington faces division rivals coming off strong road performances or in must-win scenarios. The team's mental fragility becomes most exploitable when they're expected to protect home court against teams they should theoretically know best. This trend matters most during the final third of the season when playoff positioning intensifies divisional matchup importance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Washington Wizards have a 12-18-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40% ATS win rate over 30 games.
Is betting on the Washington Wizards as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Wizards as home favorites against division rivals has not been profitable, with a -23.6% ROI over the past decade. Bettors would have lost approximately 24 cents for every dollar wagered on this trend.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 40% ATS win rate is significantly below the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The Wizards have consistently failed to cover spreads in these divisional home matchups, making this one of their worst betting trends.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.