Washington Wizards Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Washington Wizards show mixed results as home favorite after a loss. Since 2014, they're 28-25-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +0.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Wizards' mediocre performance as home favorites following losses stems from their historically inconsistent organizational culture and tendency toward emotional volatility. Washington has long struggled with maintaining focus after setbacks, often pressing too hard to immediately bounce back rather than executing their system. This franchise has cycled through numerous coaching changes and roster overhauls since 2014, creating an environment where players lack the institutional memory and leadership necessary to respond effectively to adversity. The team's home court advantage at Capital One Arena has never been particularly intimidating, and Washington's fanbase often reflects the team's energy rather than driving it. When the Wizards enter as favorites after a loss, they frequently face the dual pressure of public expectation and internal frustration, leading to rushed possessions and defensive lapses early in games. Their recent form suggests this pattern continues, as the franchise still lacks the veteran leadership and coaching stability that typically helps teams respond positively to disappointment. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Washington as home chalk after road losses, especially against teams with strong defensive identities that can exploit the Wizards' tendency to force offense. This trend carries the most weight during stretches when the team is fighting for playoff positioning and emotions run highest.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The Washington Wizards have a 28-25-0 ATS record as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 52.8% ATS win rate over 53 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the Washington Wizards as home favorite after a loss profitable?
Betting on the Washington Wizards as home favorites after a loss has been slightly profitable with a 0.9% ROI from 2014-2024. However, the profit margin is minimal and essentially breaks even after accounting for typical sportsbook juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Wizards' 52.8% ATS rate as home favorites after losses is slightly above the typical 50% baseline expected in spread betting. Their performance in this spot has been marginally better than average, though not significantly profitable.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.