The public often underestimates the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Washington Wizards hold a record of 37-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +38.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $20 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record37-14-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size51 games
ROI+38.5%
Units Won+19.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-0-00.0%+90.9%
20153-0-00.0%+90.9%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20176-2-00.0%+43.2%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20197-0-00.0%+90.9%
20202-4-00.0%-36.4%
20214-0-00.0%+90.9%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-0-00.0%+90.9%
20244-1-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Wizards' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a potent combination of psychological momentum and market inefficiency. Washington has historically thrived when expectations are lowered, as the underdog status allows players to compete without the pressure that often accompanies favorite roles. Coming off a win, the team carries confidence while still being dismissed by oddsmakers who may overweight recent struggles or roster limitations. This dynamic creates particularly favorable betting situations because the market tends to undervalue teams in transition periods or those perceived as rebuilding. The Wizards have often found themselves in these scenarios, where talent exceeds public perception. Home court advantage becomes amplified when players feel they have something to prove, and the combination of recent success with continued disrespect from the betting market creates powerful value. The psychological edge of playing with house money after a victory cannot be understated. Players tend to be more aggressive and confident, while coaching staffs often implement more creative game plans when they're not expected to win. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when sample sizes are small and market adjustments haven't fully accounted for roster changes or improved team chemistry.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Washington Wizards have an outstanding 37-14-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 72.5% ATS win rate over 51 games.

Is betting on the Washington Wizards as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Wizards as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 38.5% ROI. This trend has shown consistent value over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 72.5% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average for ATS betting. The 38.5% ROI indicates this has been one of the most profitable situational trends in the NBA.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.