The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the Washington Wizards are just 96-142-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -23.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +23.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record96-142-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size239 games
ROI-23.0%
Units Won-54.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-13-00.0%-12.5%
20157-13-00.0%-33.2%
20167-12-00.0%-29.7%
20177-15-00.0%-39.3%
20187-17-00.0%-44.3%
201915-12-00.0%+6.1%
20206-8-10.0%-18.2%
20219-10-00.0%-9.6%
20228-14-00.0%-30.6%
20239-15-00.0%-28.4%
202410-13-00.0%-17.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Wizards' struggles as favorites following extended losing streaks reveal a franchise plagued by inconsistent leadership and fragile confidence. When Washington enters these spots, they're typically dealing with a roster that lacks the veteran presence needed to handle pressure situations. The team has historically relied on individual talent rather than cohesive systems, making them vulnerable when expectations rise after finally being favored again. Their poor performance in these situations stems from a tendency to play tight rather than loose. Instead of using the favorite role as motivation, the Wizards often seem overwhelmed by the responsibility to end their skid decisively. This manifests in poor shot selection, defensive lapses, and the kind of mental errors that extend losing streaks rather than end them. The franchise's culture has rarely emphasized resilience, making bounce-back spots particularly challenging. The psychological burden becomes even heavier when you consider that Washington is usually favored in these spots against weaker opponents, creating an expectation that should be easily met. When they fail to deliver, it compounds the mental strain on a roster that already struggles with consistency. This trend carries the most weight when the Wizards are small home favorites against sub-.500 teams, where the pressure to perform reaches its peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The Washington Wizards have an ATS record of 96-142-1 when favored after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40.2% ATS win rate over 239 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Washington Wizards as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Wizards as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable. The strategy shows a -23.0% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically win around 50% of games when favored. The Wizards' 0.0% win rate in this spot represents one of the worst situational trends in the NBA over this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.