The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Wizards in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as second game of back-to-back, the Washington Wizards are just 35-41-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.1%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record35-41-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size76 games
ROI-12.1%
Units Won-9.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-2-00.0%+43.2%
20152-4-00.0%-36.4%
20162-3-00.0%-23.6%
20175-1-00.0%+59.1%
20185-5-00.0%-4.5%
20194-5-00.0%-15.2%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20223-8-00.0%-47.9%
20234-7-00.0%-30.6%
20242-3-00.0%-23.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Wizards' struggles on the second night of back-to-backs stem from their historically shallow bench depth and reliance on high-usage players. Washington has consistently built rosters around star guards who carry heavy offensive loads, making them particularly vulnerable to fatigue in compressed schedules. Players like Bradley Beal and Russell Westbrook in recent years have averaged among the highest minutes per game in the league, leaving little room for meaningful rest. The franchise's defensive identity compounds this issue. Washington has rarely possessed elite defensive schemes or personnel, forcing them to expend extra energy on offense to remain competitive. When legs get heavy on back-to-backs, their already-questionable defensive rotations break down further, leading to inflated opponent scoring and wider point spreads than the betting market anticipates. The coaching carousel hasn't helped either. Frequent system changes under different regimes have prevented the development of deep, cohesive rotations that could better handle schedule compression. Role players often appear unprepared for extended minutes when starters need rest. This trend carries the most weight when Washington faces quality opponents on the road during back-to-backs, particularly against teams with strong offensive systems that can exploit tired legs and compromised defensive positioning.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Wizards's ATS record as second game of back-to-back?

The Washington Wizards have a 35-41-0 ATS record in the second game of back-to-backs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 46.1% cover rate over 76 games.

Is betting on the Washington Wizards as second game of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Wizards in the second game of back-to-backs is not profitable. The strategy shows a -12.1% ROI with a 0.0% win rate over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is below the typical league average for second games of back-to-backs. Most teams struggle in these situations, but the Wizards' 46.1% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate particularly poor performance in this spot.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.