The public often underestimates the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Utah Jazz hold a record of 23-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +7.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $3 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record23-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size41 games
ROI+7.1%
Units Won+2.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20153-2-00.0%+14.6%
20163-1-00.0%+43.2%
20171-1-00.0%-4.5%
20182-3-00.0%-23.6%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20201-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20222-2-00.0%-4.5%
20233-4-00.0%-18.2%
20241-2-00.0%-36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jazz's effectiveness as small underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a team that thrives when expectations are lowered. Utah has historically built its culture around proving doubters wrong, and the narrow point spread creates the perfect psychological environment where they feel disrespected enough to elevate their effort without facing overwhelming talent disparities. When installed as slight underdogs, the Jazz typically face opponents in similar competitive tiers, which plays directly into their strengths as a fundamentally sound, well-coached organization. These matchups often occur against teams with superior talent but questionable consistency, allowing Utah's disciplined approach and superior preparation to shine through. The small spread also suggests competitive games where their home-court advantage and veteran leadership become decisive factors in close contests. The key insight for bettors is recognizing that Utah's coaching staff excels at game-planning for opponents they're expected to lose to narrowly. Their systematic approach to basketball becomes more pronounced when they can't rely on talent advantages, leading to more focused execution and fewer mental lapses. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when motivation levels vary across the league, particularly in games where the opposing team might overlook Utah due to the modest point spread.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Utah Jazz has a 23-18-0 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This represents a 56.1% ATS win rate over 41 games in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Utah Jazz as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Utah Jazz as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been profitable with a 7.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 23-18 ATS record in this spot shows consistent value for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Jazz's 56.1% ATS win rate as small underdogs significantly outperforms the expected 50% break-even rate. This 7.1% ROI indicates above-average performance in small underdog situations over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.