Utah Jazz Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Utah Jazz hold a record of 35-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +7.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2022 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2023 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2024 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jazz's success as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations and playing spoiler against higher-seeded opponents. Utah has consistently fielded scrappy, well-coached teams that thrive when the pressure shifts to their opponents. When facing teams favored by 3.5 to 7 points, the Jazz often encounter opponents who may be looking ahead or playing down to competition, creating value for the underdog. Utah's defensive schemes under various coaching regimes have been particularly effective at disrupting offensive rhythm when teams expect easier victories. The franchise's emphasis on ball movement and three-point shooting creates variance that can swing games in their favor, especially when opponents aren't fully locked in defensively. Additionally, playing at altitude in Salt Lake City provides a subtle home court advantage that oddsmakers may not fully account for in this range. The psychological element cannot be understated – Utah players historically embrace the underdog role and play with extra motivation when disrespected by the betting market. Teams favored in this range often lack the killer instinct needed to cover, assuming they'll win comfortably. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when motivation levels vary significantly between teams, particularly in games where the favored team has a back-to-back situation or recent emotional victory.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Utah Jazz has a 35-27-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 56.5% ATS win rate over 62 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Utah Jazz as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Utah Jazz as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 7.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 56.5% ATS win rate in this spot exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Jazz's 56.5% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is above the league average, as teams typically need to cover around 52.4% of spreads to break even after accounting for juice. Their 7.8% ROI indicates solid value in this betting situation.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.