Utah Jazz Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Utah Jazz hold a record of 74-35-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +29.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $33 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
| 2017 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2018 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2020 | 6-1-1 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2021 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2023 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2024 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jazz's exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of competitive grit that refuses to fold regardless of expectations. When facing significant point spreads, Utah typically finds itself in spots where the betting public has written them off completely - often on the road against elite teams or during perceived down periods. This creates perfect storm conditions where the Jazz can leverage their systematic approach and disciplined execution against opponents who may be looking ahead or playing with reduced intensity. Utah's coaching philosophy has consistently emphasized playing the game the right way regardless of circumstances, which translates beautifully to underdog situations where effort and execution matter more than talent disparities. The franchise's ability to develop role players and maintain competitive rotations means they rarely experience the massive talent drop-offs that create blowout scenarios, even when missing key contributors. The psychological edge cannot be understated - teams getting 7.5+ points often play with house money mentality, allowing for aggressive defensive schemes and calculated risks that can disrupt superior opponents' rhythm. For bettors, this trend holds strongest value when the Jazz are road underdogs against teams coming off emotional wins or in potential letdown spots after big victories.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Utah Jazz has a 74-35-1 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This translates to a 67.3% ATS win rate over 110 games.
Is betting on the Utah Jazz as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Utah Jazz as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 29.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite never winning games outright in this situation, they consistently cover the spread at a strong rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 67.3% ATS win rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for large underdogs. The Jazz's ability to keep games closer than expected as heavy underdogs has created exceptional betting value.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.