Utah Jazz Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Utah Jazz show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 16-15-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -1.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jazz's underwhelming performance against division rivals at home stems from the unique pressures of Northwest Division matchups, where familiarity breeds contempt and tactical adjustments become paramount. Utah's home-court advantage at Vivint Arena, typically bolstered by altitude and crowd energy, gets neutralized when facing teams like Denver, Portland, Oklahoma City, and Minnesota who visit multiple times per season and have extensive scouting reports on the Jazz's tendencies. Division games carry heightened intensity that often disrupts Utah's methodical offensive system, forcing them into more isolation-heavy possessions that play away from their strengths in ball movement and screen-setting. The psychological weight of these matchups also cannot be understated – division losses carry double the sting since they directly impact playoff positioning and tiebreakers, leading to pressing and overthinking in crucial moments. The recent struggles suggest this pattern persists regardless of roster construction, indicating it's more about organizational approach than individual talent. Smart bettors should exercise caution when backing Utah as home favorites against division opponents, particularly in late-season games where playoff implications amplify the pressure. This trend matters most during the final two months of the regular season when division standings crystallize and every game carries playoff seeding consequences.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Utah Jazz has a 16-15-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 51.6% ATS win rate over 31 games.
Is betting on the Utah Jazz as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Utah Jazz at home vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -1.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite a slightly above .500 ATS record, the negative ROI indicates losses after accounting for betting juice.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Jazz's 51.6% ATS win rate is slightly above the theoretical break-even point but below typical profitable thresholds. Most successful betting trends require 53-55% ATS win rates to overcome standard sportsbook margins.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.