Utah Jazz Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Utah Jazz are just 6-10-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -28.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +28.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jazz's struggles as home favorites on zero rest stem from their historically methodical offensive approach that relies heavily on precise execution and rhythm. Utah's system-based basketball, particularly during their most successful years with players like Rudy Gobert anchoring the defense, demands crisp ball movement and disciplined shot selection that becomes compromised when legs are heavy from back-to-back games. The psychological component cannot be overlooked either. Utah's home crowd expects dominant performances against inferior opponents, creating additional pressure when the team is already fighting fatigue. The Jazz have consistently been a team that thrives on preparation and defensive positioning, both of which suffer significantly on zero rest. Their defensive schemes require constant communication and help rotations that break down when players are mentally and physically drained. The market consistently overvalues Utah's home-court advantage in these spots, failing to account for how dramatically their execution drops off without proper rest. Sharp bettors should target the Jazz as fade candidates when they're laying points at home on the second night of back-to-backs. This trend matters most when Utah is favored by 6+ points against Western Conference opponents, as the combination of conference familiarity and inflated spreads creates maximum value on the underdog.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Utah Jazz have gone 6-10-0 against the spread as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 37.5% ATS win rate over 16 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Utah Jazz as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Utah Jazz as home favorites on zero rest has not been profitable, showing a -28.4% ROI. This poor performance indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Jazz in this scenario.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS baseline, with the Jazz covering just 37.5% of the time. The -28.4% ROI indicates this trend has been particularly unfavorable compared to typical betting expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.