Utah Jazz Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the Utah Jazz are just 14-33-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -43.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +43.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2016 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2018 | 2-7-0 | 0.0% | -57.6% |
| 2019 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Jazz's struggles as home favorites after losses stem from a fundamental psychological flaw that has plagued the franchise across different eras and rosters. Utah teams historically carry the weight of expectations poorly when returning home after road disappointments, often pressing too hard to immediately bounce back rather than executing their systematic approach that made them favorites in the first place. This pattern reflects the Jazz's organizational culture of accountability and high internal standards. When they fail to meet expectations on the road, there's an observable tendency to overcorrect at home, leading to rushed possessions and defensive breakdowns against teams they should theoretically handle. The pressure of being favored compounds this effect, as role players often defer too much to star players who are trying to single-handedly erase the previous game's mistakes. The franchise's home-court advantage at Vivint Arena, while typically strong, becomes a liability in these spots because the crowd's expectations amplify the internal pressure. Teams coming off losses often play with more desperation than the favored Jazz, who can appear to expect the game to come to them naturally. This trend carries the most weight when Utah is favored by larger margins, particularly against teams with nothing to lose who can play freely in Salt Lake City.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The Utah Jazz has a 14-33-0 ATS record as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 29.8% cover rate over 47 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Utah Jazz as home favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Utah Jazz as home favorites after a loss is not profitable. The team has generated a -43.1% ROI with a 0% win rate in this situation over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average. Most teams cover around 50% ATS, making the Jazz's 29.8% cover rate in this spot particularly poor for bettors.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.