The data suggests caution when backing the Utah Jazz in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Utah Jazz are just 93-111-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record93-111-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size204 games
ROI-13.0%
Units Won-26.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-5-00.0%+22.7%
20159-9-00.0%-4.5%
20168-11-00.0%-19.6%
20178-7-00.0%+1.8%
20182-9-00.0%-65.3%
201910-12-00.0%-13.2%
20205-9-00.0%-31.8%
202111-14-00.0%-16.0%
20229-12-00.0%-18.2%
202314-11-00.0%+6.9%
20248-12-00.0%-23.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Jazz's struggles after victories reflect a franchise-wide issue with emotional regulation and maintaining intensity levels. Utah has historically been a team that plays with maximum effort when facing adversity or coming off disappointing performances, but they've consistently failed to channel that same energy when riding positive momentum. This pattern suggests a coaching culture that emphasizes responding to failure rather than building on success. The franchise's conservative, defense-first identity actually works against them in these spots. After wins, the Jazz often become overly cautious, trying to protect leads early and playing not to lose rather than maintaining the aggressive approach that secured their previous victory. Their offensive system, which relies heavily on ball movement and patient execution, becomes predictably stagnant when they're overthinking rather than playing instinctively. Utah's roster construction has also contributed to this trend, as they've rarely had the type of alpha scorer who can single-handedly impose his will regardless of the team's emotional state. Without that go-to option, the Jazz become vulnerable to the natural letdown that follows emotional highs. Bettors should particularly target this trend when Utah faces quality opponents after wins, especially on the road where their conservative tendencies become most pronounced.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Utah Jazz's ATS record as after a win?

The Utah Jazz has an ATS record of 93-111-0 after wins from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.6% ATS win rate over 204 games.

Is betting on the Utah Jazz as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Utah Jazz after wins has not been profitable, showing a -13.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors following this trend.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Jazz's 45.6% ATS rate after wins is below the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. This suggests the betting market may overvalue Utah following victories, creating unfavorable betting opportunities.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.