Toronto Raptors One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Toronto Raptors are just 17-24-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -20.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +20.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2022 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raptors' struggles on one day of rest stem from their historically aggressive defensive identity and the physical toll it extracts. Toronto has built their brand around switching schemes, hard hedges on screens, and relentless ball pressure that demands constant communication and energy. When players have minimal recovery time, this defensive intensity becomes difficult to sustain, leading to breakdowns in coverage and allowing opponents to find easier scoring opportunities than the betting market typically anticipates. The franchise's roster construction has consistently favored athletic, versatile defenders over pure shooters, creating lineups that rely heavily on energy and execution rather than talent gaps. On short rest, these role players often struggle to maintain the hustle plays and rotations that make Toronto competitive against superior talent. The team's offensive limitations become magnified when legs are heavy, as they lack the elite shot creators who can manufacture points regardless of physical condition. Smart bettors should target games where Toronto faces high-powered offenses on one day of rest, particularly when the Raptors are road favorites or small home favorites. The market often overvalues their home court advantage and defensive reputation without accounting for fatigue factors. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races when Toronto pushes their core players heavy minutes, making rest disadvantages even more pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as one day rest?
The Toronto Raptors have an ATS record of 17-24-0 when playing on one day rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 41.5% ATS win rate over 41 games.
Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Toronto Raptors with one day rest is not profitable, showing a -20.8% ROI. This poor performance indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raptors' 41.5% ATS win rate on one day rest is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -20.8% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than expected in this rest scenario.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.