Toronto Raptors Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Toronto Raptors hold a record of 57-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +26.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $23 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2017 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2019 | 5-2-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2022 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2023 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2024 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raptors' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their tendency to elevate their play when expectations are lowest. Toronto has consistently built rosters around defensive intensity and collective effort rather than superstar talent, creating a team identity that thrives when overlooked by oddsmakers and opponents alike. When facing significant point spreads, the Raptors benefit from reduced pressure and the freedom to play loose, aggressive basketball. Their coaching staff has historically excelled at game-planning for marquee opponents, often implementing specific defensive schemes that can neutralize superior talent for stretches. The team's depth and willingness to embrace role players stepping up in big moments becomes particularly valuable when they're not expected to compete. The psychological advantage of being written off cannot be understated for a franchise that has often felt disrespected despite consistent success. Players tend to respond with heightened focus and energy when facing teams they perceive as more talented or prestigious. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Toronto faces elite opponents in nationally televised games or playoff-like atmospheres. This trend carries the most weight when the Raptors are healthy and facing teams coming off impressive performances, as the motivation and preparation factors align perfectly.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The Toronto Raptors have a 57-29-0 ATS record as large underdogs (+7.5 or more) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 66.3% ATS win rate over 86 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Toronto Raptors as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 26.5% ROI. Their 66.3% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the break-even point needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league average, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. A 66.3% ATS rate and 26.5% ROI as big underdogs indicates the Raptors have been significantly undervalued by oddsmakers in these situations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.