Toronto Raptors Home After 2+ Losses Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Toronto Raptors show mixed results as home after 2+ losses. Since 2014, they're 119-120-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-12-0 | 0.0% | -43.9% |
| 2015 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2016 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2017 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2019 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 14-14-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 11-10-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 9-15-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2023 | 10-7-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2024 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raptors' flat performance at home following multiple losses reflects the franchise's historically inconsistent response to adversity. Toronto has traditionally struggled with the psychological weight of extended losing streaks, particularly when returning to Scotiabank Arena where fan expectations run high. The team's tendency to overthink rather than simplify their approach becomes magnified in front of their home crowd, leading to forced shots and defensive lapses that negate any natural home court advantage. Toronto's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized defensive intensity and ball movement, but these systems often break down when players press too hard to snap losing streaks. The Raptors' relatively young core over recent seasons has shown they can be mentally fragile in these bounce-back spots, especially against quality opponents who smell blood in the water. The team's offensive spacing issues become more pronounced when they're tight, making them vulnerable to disciplined defensive teams. Sharp bettors should be cautious backing Toronto in these spots, particularly when they're favored against teams with strong road records. The value often lies on the visitor or the total, as these games tend to feature more possessions but lower shooting efficiency. This trend matters most when the Raptors face playoff-caliber opponents after consecutive losses, especially during crucial stretches in March and April.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?
The Toronto Raptors have a 119-120-0 ATS record when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.8% ATS win rate over 239 games.
Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as home after 2+ losses profitable?
No, betting on the Toronto Raptors at home after 2+ losses is not profitable. The strategy shows a -4.9% ROI with a 0.0% straight-up win rate, indicating consistent losses for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below the expected 50% ATS baseline, though the sample size of 239 games provides statistical significance. The -4.9% ROI suggests this situation creates negative value compared to random betting.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.