Toronto Raptors Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home games, the Toronto Raptors are just 119-121-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-13-0 | 0.0% | -47.0% |
| 2015 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2016 | 14-12-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2017 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2019 | 12-9-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 14-14-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 11-10-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 9-15-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2023 | 10-7-0 | 0.0% | +12.3% |
| 2024 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Raptors' perfectly balanced home ATS record reveals a franchise caught between competing identities over the past decade. Toronto's home court advantage has been inconsistent largely due to their tendency to play up or down to competition level, particularly evident during their championship window and subsequent rebuild phases. The team's emotional volatility at Scotiabank Arena stems from heightened expectations when playing in front of their passionate fanbase, creating situations where they either exceed or fall short of inflated betting lines. Toronto's home struggles against the spread often correlate with their defensive inconsistencies in familiar surroundings. While road teams must adapt to new environments, the Raptors sometimes lack the urgency that traveling provides, leading to slow starts and defensive lapses that allow opponents to cover spreads despite eventual victories. Their coaching changes and roster turnover since 2014 have also contributed to this mediocrity, as different systems and personnel have struggled to establish a consistent home identity. The recent 5-5 form suggests this trend continues, making Toronto home games particularly tricky for bettors who might assume home court provides an edge. The key insight is to focus on situational spots rather than assuming home favoritism - specifically target games where Toronto faces quality opponents who can exploit their complacency. This pattern matters most during nationally televised games and divisional matchups where line movement often favors the home Raptors despite their historical inconsistency covering spreads.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as home games?
The Toronto Raptors have an ATS record of 119-121-0 in home games from 2014-2024, covering the spread 49.6% of the time. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread at home.
Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as home games profitable?
No, betting on the Toronto Raptors in home games has not been profitable, showing a -5.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Raptors at home.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Raptors' 49.6% home ATS win rate is slightly below the typical 50% breakeven point expected in sports betting. Their -5.3% ROI suggests underperformance compared to league averages, though specific comparative data would be needed for exact league rankings.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.