The data suggests caution when backing the Toronto Raptors in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Toronto Raptors are just 95-102-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.9%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record95-102-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size197 games
ROI-7.9%
Units Won-15.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-10-00.0%-15.2%
20158-9-00.0%-10.2%
20166-9-00.0%-23.6%
201710-10-00.0%-4.5%
20188-3-00.0%+38.8%
20198-8-00.0%-4.5%
202010-13-00.0%-17.0%
202110-9-00.0%+0.5%
20228-13-00.0%-27.3%
20238-12-00.0%-23.6%
202411-6-00.0%+23.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Raptors' mediocre bounce-back performance stems from their organizational culture of measured responses rather than emotional swings. Toronto's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized process over results, meaning they rarely panic after losses or make dramatic tactical adjustments that could lead to explosive covering performances. This steady-handed approach creates predictable outcomes that oddsmakers can effectively price. Toronto's roster construction typically features veteran leadership and role players who understand their limitations, preventing the type of desperate heroics that often fuel strong post-loss performances. The franchise's emphasis on defensive identity means they're more likely to tighten up fundamentally after defeats rather than unleash high-variance offensive schemes that might catch spreads off guard. The recent improvement in bounce-back spots suggests current management has instilled better accountability systems, but the historical pattern reveals a team that responds with incremental adjustments rather than dramatic course corrections. Bettors should recognize that Toronto's post-loss games often feature tighter defensive efforts without corresponding offensive explosions. This trend carries the most weight when the Raptors face inferior opponents after road losses, where their methodical approach often produces workmanlike wins that barely cover inflated spreads.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Toronto Raptors's ATS record as after a loss?

The Toronto Raptors have a 95-102-0 ATS record after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.2% ATS win rate over 197 games.

Is betting on the Toronto Raptors as after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Toronto Raptors after a loss is not profitable. The team has generated a -7.9% ROI with a 48.2% ATS win rate, meaning bettors would lose money over time.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below the typical 50% ATS expectation. The -7.9% ROI and 48.2% win rate indicate the Raptors have struggled to cover spreads in bounce-back situations more than average teams.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.