San Antonio Spurs Medium Favorite (-3.5 to -7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The San Antonio Spurs show mixed results as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7). Since 2014, they're 36-36-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2015 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 4-6-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2017 | 2-6-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2018 | 5-5-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2024 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Spurs' mediocre performance as medium favorites reflects their franchise's fundamental shift from championship contender to rebuilding squad. San Antonio's young core lacks the killer instinct that defined their championship teams, often playing tentatively when expected to control games against inferior opponents. The psychological burden of living up to the Spurs' legacy creates additional pressure when Vegas sets them as meaningful favorites, leading to overthinking and conservative execution. Their coaching philosophy emphasizes development over wins, meaning they frequently experiment with lineups and rotations even in winnable games. This developmental approach often costs them the decisive moments that separate covering spreads from disappointing performances. The team's inconsistent offensive identity compounds these issues - they struggle to impose their will when opponents pack the paint and force them into contested jump shots. The roster construction featuring promising but inexperienced players creates natural volatility. Young players haven't learned how to respond when opponents make adjustments, leading to those frustrating third-quarter collapses that kill medium favorite bets. This trend becomes most problematic during home games against sub-.500 teams, where the expectation to dominate creates the perfect storm of pressure and complacency.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Antonio Spurs's ATS record as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7)?
The San Antonio Spurs have gone 36-36-0 against the spread as medium favorites (-3.5 to -7 point spreads) from 2014-2024. This represents exactly a 50% ATS win rate over 72 games in this situation.
Is betting on the San Antonio Spurs as medium favorite (-3.5 to -7) profitable?
No, betting on the Spurs as medium favorites has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the even 36-36 ATS record, the negative ROI indicates losses due to standard betting juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below the typical expectation for favorites, as the -4.5% ROI suggests underperformance when accounting for betting costs. Most successful betting situations require above 52.4% win rates to overcome standard sportsbook margins.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.