The public often underestimates the San Antonio Spurs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the San Antonio Spurs hold a record of 39-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $6 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record39-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size68 games
ROI+9.5%
Units Won+6.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-5-00.0%+4.1%
20154-1-00.0%+52.7%
20165-1-00.0%+59.1%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20195-2-00.0%+36.4%
20203-3-00.0%-4.5%
20212-5-00.0%-45.5%
20225-4-00.0%+6.1%
20230-4-00.0%-100.0%
20245-2-00.0%+36.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Spurs' strong performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations when written off. San Antonio has historically thrived in the sweet spot where they're respected enough to avoid blowout scenarios but undervalued enough to provide betting value. This range typically occurs against playoff-caliber teams where the Spurs' veteran leadership and systematic approach allows them to stay competitive despite talent disparities. Gregg Popovich's coaching philosophy particularly shines in these spots, as he's masterful at game-planning to neutralize superior opponents through tactical adjustments and disciplined execution. The Spurs rarely beat themselves with turnovers or poor shot selection, keeping games closer than the betting market anticipates. Their home-court advantage at the Alamodome also plays a crucial role, as visiting teams often struggle with the unique atmosphere and shooting backgrounds. The psychological element cannot be overlooked – San Antonio players have internalized the "nobody believes in us" mentality that fuels extra effort when facing better teams. This creates a perfect storm where they're motivated to prove doubters wrong while facing opponents who might overlook them. This trend carries the most weight during the regular season when facing Western Conference playoff contenders, particularly in home games where their systematic advantages are amplified.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Antonio Spurs's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The San Antonio Spurs have a 39-29-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.4% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the San Antonio Spurs as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Spurs as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 9.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their 57.4% ATS win rate in this spot generates consistent value for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Spurs' 57.4% ATS win rate as medium underdogs significantly outperforms the typical 50% league average. This 7.4 percentage point edge makes them one of the more reliable medium underdog plays during this timeframe.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.