San Antonio Spurs Large Favorite (-7.5+) Betting Trend

The Spurs' struggles as heavy favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their methodical, system-based approach and the urgency required to cover large spreads. San Antonio has historically built their identity around defensive discipline and controlled pace, which naturally leads to closer games regardless of talent disparities. When installed as substantial favorites, the Spurs often find themselves in grinding affairs where their defensive principles actually work against covering inflated numbers. The psychological element plays a crucial role as well. San Antonio's veteran-heavy rosters throughout their championship runs were notorious for playing down to competition, particularly in regular season games where rest and long-term health took precedence over dominant performances. The team's "take what the defense gives you" mentality rarely translates to the explosive offensive outputs needed to blow out inferior opponents. Additionally, the Spurs' bench depth often meant starters received reduced minutes in games they were expected to win easily, further limiting their ability to build commanding leads. Their conservative fourth-quarter rotations frequently prevented late-game separation that could have salvaged covers. This trend matters most when San Antonio faces rebuilding teams or squads on back-to-back situations where the betting market overvalues their systematic advantages.