San Antonio Spurs Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the San Antonio Spurs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the San Antonio Spurs hold a record of 57-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +37.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $30 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2016 | 7-1-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2017 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2019 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2022 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2023 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Spurs' exceptional performance as large underdogs stems from their organizational DNA built around disciplined execution and veteran leadership. When facing significant point spreads, San Antonio transforms into a team that thrives on being underestimated, leveraging their systematic approach to exploit opponents who may overlook preparation details. The franchise's culture of accountability means players rarely mail in performances regardless of expectations, while their coaching staff historically excels at game-planning specific strategies to keep games competitive against superior talent. San Antonio's success in these spots also reflects their ability to control pace and limit possessions, turning potential blowouts into grind-it-out affairs where a few key plays determine margins. Their veteran presence helps maintain composure in hostile environments, while younger players often elevate their games when given opportunities against marquee opponents. The team's three-point shooting variance can also work in their favor as underdogs, where hot shooting nights create unexpected competitiveness. Bettors should target the Spurs as large road underdogs specifically, where their road warrior mentality and reduced crowd pressure allow them to execute their system most effectively. This trend carries the most weight during nationally televised games and against teams coming off emotional wins, where focus lapses create the perfect storm for San Antonio to exceed lowered expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Antonio Spurs's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The San Antonio Spurs have a 57-22-0 ATS record when they are large underdogs of +7.5 points or more from 2014-2024. This translates to a 72.2% ATS win rate over 79 total games in this situation.
Is betting on the San Antonio Spurs as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the San Antonio Spurs as large underdogs has been highly profitable with a 37.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 72.2% ATS win rate in games where they're getting 7.5+ points significantly exceeds the break-even threshold.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is exceptional compared to league averages, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Spurs' 72.2% ATS rate as large underdogs is well above typical expectations and represents one of the strongest situational trends in the NBA.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.