The data suggests caution when backing the San Antonio Spurs in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite, the San Antonio Spurs are just 48-59-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record48-59-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size107 games
ROI-14.4%
Units Won-15.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-5-00.0%+4.1%
20157-6-00.0%+2.8%
20162-5-00.0%-45.5%
20175-8-00.0%-26.6%
20185-4-00.0%+6.1%
20195-8-00.0%-26.6%
20206-4-00.0%+14.6%
20212-4-00.0%-36.4%
20224-5-00.0%-15.2%
20233-7-00.0%-42.7%
20243-3-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Spurs' struggles as home favorites reflect a franchise caught between eras, where their methodical, defense-first identity often fails to generate the dominant performances oddsmakers expect. San Antonio's deliberate pace and emphasis on fundamental basketball creates games that trend closer regardless of talent disparities, making them vulnerable to backdoor covers and keeping underdogs competitive longer than the spread suggests. The psychological component runs deeper than most teams. The Spurs' championship culture breeds a workmanlike approach that doesn't always translate to blowout victories, even against inferior opponents. Their veteran leadership tends to treat regular season games with measured intensity, particularly at home where comfort can breed complacency. This steady-eddie mentality means they rarely put teams away early, allowing underdogs to stay within striking distance throughout games. San Antonio's home court advantage has also diminished as their roster transitioned from the Duncan-Parker-Ginobili era. The AT&T Center lacks the intimidation factor it once held, and younger Spurs teams haven't established the same commanding presence that made previous iterations so reliable in favored spots. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing San Antonio as home favorites against scrappy, up-tempo teams that can exploit their deliberate style and turn games into coin flips down the stretch.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Antonio Spurs's ATS record as home favorite?

The San Antonio Spurs have a 48-59-0 ATS record as home favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 44.9% of games. This represents 107 total games where they were favored at home.

Is betting on the San Antonio Spurs as home favorite profitable?

No, betting on the San Antonio Spurs as home favorites has not been profitable, showing a -14.4% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 44.9% ATS win rate is significantly below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. The -14.4% ROI also underperforms compared to most teams in similar home favorite situations during this timeframe.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.