Sacramento Kings vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Sacramento Kings are just 71-80-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-8-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2015 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2016 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2017 | 6-7-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2018 | 10-6-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2019 | 6-12-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 3-11-0 | 0.0% | -59.1% |
| 2021 | 10-4-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2022 | 1-11-0 | 0.0% | -84.1% |
| 2023 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2024 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Kings' struggles against conference opponents stem from their historically inconsistent roster construction and defensive identity issues that become magnified against familiar Western Conference foes. Teams within their conference have had multiple opportunities each season to study Sacramento's tendencies, particularly their offensive-heavy approach that often leaves them vulnerable in tight divisional races where every possession matters. Sacramento's coaching instability over much of this period created strategic disadvantages against conference rivals who maintained more consistent systems. Western Conference teams have exploited the Kings' tendency to rely heavily on pace and offensive firepower while neglecting the defensive adjustments necessary in conference play, where teams know each other's sets and personnel intimately. The franchise's rebuild phases coincided with facing established Western Conference powerhouses during their most vulnerable developmental years. Young Kings rosters often lacked the mental toughness and execution needed in high-stakes conference matchups, leading to poor late-game decision-making that consistently hurt their spread coverage. Bettors should focus on this trend when Sacramento faces conference opponents coming off extended road trips or in back-to-back situations, as their defensive lapses become most pronounced when fatigue compounds their existing vulnerabilities against teams that know how to attack their weaknesses.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Sacramento Kings have a 71-80-0 ATS record when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.0% ATS win rate over 151 games.
Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Sacramento Kings against conference opponents is not profitable, with a -10.2% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Sacramento in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Kings' 47.0% ATS rate against conference opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -10.2% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in conference games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.