Sacramento Kings Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Sacramento Kings hold a record of 137-89-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +15.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $36 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-11-0 | 0.0% | +13.1% |
| 2015 | 14-8-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2016 | 11-4-0 | 0.0% | +40.0% |
| 2017 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2018 | 17-11-0 | 0.0% | +15.9% |
| 2019 | 12-7-0 | 0.0% | +20.6% |
| 2020 | 6-11-0 | 0.0% | -32.6% |
| 2021 | 11-10-0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 9-6-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 11-8-0 | 0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024 | 17-8-0 | 0.0% | +29.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Kings' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their unique organizational psychology and the inherent mismatch between public perception and actual talent. Sacramento has historically been viewed as a small-market afterthought, creating inflated spreads when they face marquee opponents on national television. This dynamic allows the Kings to consistently outperform expectations against teams that may overlook them or play down to their competition level. Sacramento's fast-paced offensive system becomes particularly effective in primetime spots where opposing defenses haven't had adequate film study time or may be dealing with travel fatigue. The Kings' ability to push tempo and create chaos often catches more methodical, half-court teams off guard. Additionally, their young core tends to rise to the occasion when playing on bigger stages, feeding off the energy of proving doubters wrong. The betting market consistently undervalues Sacramento's talent relative to their reputation, especially when facing teams with stronger brand recognition. Oddsmakers often inflate spreads based on name value rather than actual matchup dynamics or recent form. This trend holds maximum value when the Kings are catching significant points against elite teams in nationally televised games, particularly when Sacramento is playing with rest advantages or at home where their pace-and-space system thrives.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Sacramento Kings have an ATS record of 137-89-0 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 60.6% ATS win rate over 226 games.
Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Sacramento Kings as primetime underdogs has been profitable with a 15.7% ROI. Despite being underdogs, they have consistently covered the spread at a high rate.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Kings' 60.6% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This represents one of the more profitable betting trends in the NBA over this period.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.