The Sacramento Kings show mixed results as home underdog after a win. Since 2014, they're 27-23-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +3.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record27-23-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size50 games
ROI+3.1%
Units Won+1.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-4-00.0%-61.8%
20153-2-00.0%+14.6%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20185-3-00.0%+19.3%
20193-1-00.0%+43.2%
20201-2-00.0%-36.4%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20246-1-00.0%+63.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' success as home underdogs following wins stems from their ability to maintain momentum while benefiting from market inefficiencies. Sacramento has historically been a team that feeds off emotional energy, and coming home after a victory creates a perfect storm of confidence and crowd support. The franchise's long playoff drought until recently meant they were often undervalued by oddsmakers, particularly when riding positive momentum from road wins or victories against quality opponents. Sacramento's up-tempo offensive style becomes even more potent at Golden 1 Center, where the enthusiastic home crowd amplifies their transition game and three-point shooting. When the Kings enter these spots with confidence from a recent win, they tend to play with the kind of free-flowing offense that can overwhelm teams expecting an easy cover. The psychological edge of being disrespected as home underdogs, combined with fresh legs and positive energy, creates value opportunities that sharp bettors have capitalized on. The key insight for bettors is to pay attention to the quality of Sacramento's previous win and their opponent's travel situation. This trend carries the most weight when the Kings are catching points at home against teams on the second night of back-to-backs or those completing difficult road trips.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as home underdog after a win?

The Sacramento Kings have a 27-23-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54% ATS win rate over 50 games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as home underdog after a win profitable?

Yes, betting on the Sacramento Kings as home underdogs after a win has been profitable with a 3.1% ROI. Despite the modest return, this represents consistent value over the 10-year sample.

How does this compare to the league average?

This 54% ATS rate and 3.1% ROI both exceed typical league averages for this situation. Most teams struggle to consistently cover spreads as home underdogs, making Sacramento's performance notable.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.