The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home after 2+ losses, the Sacramento Kings are just 100-103-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.0%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record100-103-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size203 games
ROI-6.0%
Units Won-12.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20148-9-00.0%-10.2%
201514-9-00.0%+16.2%
20168-10-00.0%-15.2%
20178-10-00.0%-15.2%
201815-10-00.0%+14.6%
201912-8-00.0%+14.6%
20206-13-00.0%-39.7%
20218-7-00.0%+1.8%
20226-9-00.0%-23.6%
20235-11-00.0%-40.3%
202410-7-00.0%+12.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles at home following multiple losses stem from a franchise-long battle with mental fragility and inconsistent defensive identity. Sacramento has historically been a momentum-driven team that feeds off crowd energy, but when that home crowd grows restless after watching consecutive defeats, the pressure amplifies rather than motivates. The organization's revolving door of coaching philosophies over the past decade has created a culture where players lack the systematic defensive principles needed to grind out wins during adversity. Sacramento's offensive-minded roster construction exacerbates this issue. When shots aren't falling at Golden 1 Center after losses, the team often abandons their defensive discipline in favor of trying to shoot their way out of trouble. This creates the exact type of high-variance games that oddsmakers struggle to price accurately, leading to inflated home spreads that don't account for the team's psychological makeup. The most telling pattern emerges when examining their response to different types of losses. Road blowouts followed by home games present particular value, as the Kings often overcompensate with frantic energy that leads to poor shot selection and defensive breakdowns. This trend carries the most weight during the middle portion of the season when playoff positioning becomes crucial but isn't yet desperate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as home after 2+ losses?

The Sacramento Kings have an ATS record of 100-103-0 when playing at home after suffering 2 or more consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.3% ATS win rate over 203 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as home after 2+ losses profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings at home after 2+ losses is not profitable, showing a -6.0% ROI from 2014-2024. The team has failed to cover the spread more often than not in this scenario, resulting in consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for ATS betting, with the Kings covering 49.3% of the time in this situation. The -6.0% ROI indicates underperformance compared to break-even betting scenarios.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.