The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Sacramento Kings are just 86-123-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -21.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +21.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record86-123-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size209 games
ROI-21.4%
Units Won-44.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-9-00.0%+16.2%
201512-8-00.0%+14.6%
20167-11-00.0%-25.8%
20178-11-00.0%-19.6%
201812-8-00.0%+14.6%
20196-16-00.0%-47.9%
20205-15-00.0%-52.3%
20219-6-00.0%+14.6%
20225-16-00.0%-54.5%
20233-17-00.0%-71.4%
20245-6-00.0%-13.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between their playing style and the expectations that come with being favored. Sacramento has built their identity around fast-paced, high-scoring basketball that thrives in chaotic environments where they can push tempo and create transition opportunities. When laying points, opponents naturally slow the game down and force the Kings into halfcourt sets where their offensive execution becomes more predictable and their defensive limitations are exposed. Sacramento's young core historically lacks the veteran leadership and mental fortitude required to handle the pressure of closing out games they're expected to win. The franchise's long playoff drought created a culture where players often pressed when favored, leading to rushed possessions and defensive breakdowns in crucial moments. Their inconsistent three-point shooting becomes magnified when opponents can dictate pace, as the Kings rely heavily on volume shooting to compensate for defensive deficiencies. The most actionable insight for bettors is to target Sacramento as road favorites, particularly in back-to-back situations where their depth issues become pronounced. This trend matters most when the Kings are favored by 3-7 points against defensively disciplined teams that can control tempo and force halfcourt execution.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as as favorite?

The Sacramento Kings have an 86-123-0 ATS record as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 86 of 209 games. This represents a poor 41.1% ATS win rate when favored.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings as favorites is not profitable, showing a -21.4% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This means bettors would lose approximately $21.40 for every $100 wagered on Sacramento when they're favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 41.1% ATS win rate as favorites is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point and likely well below league average. Most successful teams as favorites typically cover at rates closer to 48-52%.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.