The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away - second of back-to-back, the Sacramento Kings are just 10-18-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -31.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +31.8%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record10-18-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size28 games
ROI-31.8%
Units Won-8.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-1-00.0%+27.3%
20150-4-00.0%-100.0%
20160-2-00.0%-100.0%
20173-1-00.0%+43.2%
20183-2-00.0%+14.6%
20191-3-00.0%-52.3%
20200-2-00.0%-100.0%
20210-1-00.0%-100.0%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20230-1-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' struggles on the second night of back-to-backs away from home stem from a combination of organizational instability and roster construction issues that have plagued the franchise for years. Sacramento has historically lacked the depth necessary to maintain competitive intensity across consecutive games, particularly when dealing with travel fatigue. The team's reliance on high-usage players during their rebuilding years meant key contributors often entered the second game already compromised, while bench players weren't equipped to shoulder increased responsibilities against rested opponents. Sacramento's defensive schemes have traditionally required significant energy and communication, both of which deteriorate markedly in these scheduling disadvantages. The Kings' uptempo offensive philosophy, while entertaining at home, becomes a liability on tired legs in hostile environments where execution must be precise. Their young cores throughout this period often showed mental lapses in crucial late-game situations when fatigue compounds decision-making errors. The psychological element cannot be understated – Sacramento players have historically approached these spots expecting difficulty, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy where early adversity leads to complete breakdowns. This trend carries the most weight when the Kings face defensively sound teams with strong home-court advantages, particularly Western Conference opponents familiar with exploiting Sacramento's travel-weary vulnerabilities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as away - second of back-to-back?

The Sacramento Kings have a 10-18-0 ATS record when playing away on the second night of back-to-back games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 35.7% ATS win rate over 28 games.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as away - second of back-to-back profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings in this situation is not profitable with a -31.8% ROI. Bettors would have lost significant money consistently backing the Kings as away favorites or underdogs on back-to-back nights.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is well below the typical 50% ATS expectation and likely worse than league average for this scenario. The Kings have struggled significantly more than most teams when playing tired on the road.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.