The data suggests caution when backing the Sacramento Kings in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a win, the Sacramento Kings are just 101-103-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record101-103-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size204 games
ROI-5.5%
Units Won-11.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201415-13-00.0%+2.3%
201510-11-00.0%-9.1%
20169-7-00.0%+7.4%
20178-12-00.0%-23.6%
201816-9-00.0%+22.2%
20198-11-00.0%-19.6%
20203-9-00.0%-52.3%
202111-6-00.0%+23.5%
20225-9-00.0%-31.8%
20235-9-00.0%-31.8%
202411-7-00.0%+16.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Kings' neutral performance after wins reflects the franchise's historical inconsistency and lack of established winning culture. Sacramento has struggled to build sustainable momentum throughout most of the sample period, often following up victories with letdowns due to a combination of youth, roster turnover, and coaching changes. The team's tendency to play down to competition after success stems from psychological factors common to rebuilding franchises - players and coaches haven't developed the mental discipline to maintain focus and intensity following positive results. Sacramento's offensive-minded identity also contributes to this pattern. The Kings typically rely on fast-paced, high-scoring games that can be difficult to replicate consistently. When coming off wins, opponents often adjust their defensive schemes and pace, forcing Sacramento into uncomfortable half-court situations where their weaknesses become exposed. The team's defensive inconsistencies become magnified when they can't dictate tempo. For bettors, the key insight is recognizing when Sacramento faces motivated opponents after Kings victories, particularly divisional rivals or teams desperate for wins. The trend becomes most significant when the Kings are road favorites following home victories, as they've historically struggled to maintain that aggressive mindset in hostile environments where defensive intensity typically increases.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sacramento Kings's ATS record as after a win?

The Sacramento Kings have a 101-103-0 ATS record after a win from 2014-2024, covering the spread in 49.5% of games. This represents 204 total games where they played after coming off a victory.

Is betting on the Sacramento Kings as after a win profitable?

No, betting on the Sacramento Kings after a win is not profitable, with a -5.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Their sub-.500 ATS record of 101-103-0 indicates they consistently fail to cover the spread in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Kings' 49.5% ATS win rate after victories is slightly below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -5.5% ROI suggests they may be overvalued by oddsmakers following wins, making them a poor betting proposition in this spot.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.