Portland Trail Blazers On a 3+ Game Win Streak Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game win streak, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 233-238-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.6% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.6%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 21-26-0 | 0.0% | -14.7% |
| 2015 | 20-25-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 27-25-0 | 0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2017 | 18-25-0 | 0.0% | -20.1% |
| 2018 | 22-17-0 | 0.0% | +7.7% |
| 2019 | 17-24-0 | 0.0% | -20.8% |
| 2020 | 17-16-0 | 0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2021 | 22-19-0 | 0.0% | +2.4% |
| 2022 | 20-25-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2023 | 30-18-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 19-18-0 | 0.0% | -2.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' neutral performance during extended winning streaks reflects the franchise's historical tendency to plateau rather than sustain momentum. Portland's organizational culture has long emphasized individual star power over systematic team building, creating a ceiling effect when expectations rise. During win streaks, the team often faces increased defensive attention on their primary scorers, exposing depth limitations that have plagued multiple iterations of the roster. Market perception plays a crucial role here as well. Portland's win streaks typically coincide with their stars playing at elite levels, causing oddsmakers to inflate lines based on recent performance rather than underlying fundamentals. The team's defensive inconsistencies become more pronounced against better competition that emerges during successful runs, while their offensive system can become predictable as opponents adjust. The psychological factor cannot be ignored either. Portland has historically struggled with the pressure of elevated expectations, often showing complacency when things go well. This manifests in lapses of intensity that sharp bettors can exploit. The most valuable betting spots emerge when Portland hits a three-game streak against quality opponents where the market hasn't fully adjusted to their defensive vulnerabilities becoming exposed.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as on a 3+ game win streak?
The Portland Trail Blazers have a 233-238-0 ATS record when on a 3+ game win streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 49.5% ATS win rate over 471 games.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as on a 3+ game win streak profitable?
No, betting on the Trail Blazers when on a 3+ game win streak has not been profitable, showing a -5.6% ROI. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing Portland in this situation over the 10-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below the expected 50% break-even rate for ATS betting. The 49.5% win rate and negative ROI indicate the betting market has generally priced Portland accurately or slightly overvalued them during win streaks.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.