Portland Trail Blazers vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 113-119-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 14-11-0 | 0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2015 | 10-13-0 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| 2016 | 11-16-0 | 0.0% | -22.2% |
| 2017 | 8-10-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 14-10-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2019 | 8-8-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 9-6-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2021 | 7-12-0 | 0.0% | -29.7% |
| 2022 | 12-12-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 13-11-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2024 | 7-10-0 | 0.0% | -21.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from several interconnected factors that create a perfect storm for underperformance. Portland's roster construction has historically favored offensive firepower over defensive versatility, making them particularly vulnerable when facing unfamiliar Eastern Conference teams with different playing styles and personnel packages they haven't studied extensively throughout the season. The psychological element plays a significant role as well. Portland players often approach these matchups with less intensity, viewing them as "easier" games against teams they rarely see. This mental letdown frequently manifests in slower starts and defensive lapses that allow inferior opponents to build confidence and momentum. The Blazers' tendency to rely heavily on their star guards also becomes problematic against Eastern teams that can deploy fresh defensive schemes Portland hasn't repeatedly faced. Geographic factors compound these issues, as West Coast teams traditionally struggle with the rhythm disruption of Eastern road trips and unfamiliar arena environments. Portland's coaching staff has less video study and scouting reports on these opponents, leading to tactical disadvantages in game-planning and in-game adjustments. This trend carries the most weight during early-season non-conference games and extended Eastern road trips when preparation time is limited.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Portland Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 113-119-0 (48.7%) when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents 232 total games with a slightly below-average cover rate.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -7.0% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Trail Blazers' 48.7% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is slightly below the typical 50% baseline expected in spread betting. The -7.0% ROI also underperforms compared to league averages, making this a historically unprofitable betting trend.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.