Portland Trail Blazers Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Portland Trail Blazers show mixed results as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7). Since 2014, they're 40-33-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.6%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2015 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2016 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2019 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2023 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' success as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations and their roster construction that thrives in competitive spots. Portland has historically built teams around skilled guards like Damian Lillard who elevate their play when facing quality opposition, creating the perfect storm for covering spreads in the 3.5 to 7-point range. These games typically feature Portland against playoff-caliber teams where the Blazers can't be overlooked but aren't favored, allowing them to play loose while maintaining focus. Portland's coaching philosophy under various regimes has emphasized pace and three-point shooting, creating variance that works in their favor when getting points. Their guards consistently rise to occasions against better teams, while their home crowd at Moda Center provides additional energy in these competitive matchups. The franchise's "underdog mentality" becomes most pronounced in these spots, where they're respected enough to keep games close but still catching meaningful points. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Portland faces teams with superior records but potential motivation concerns. This trend holds maximum value when the Blazers are at home against playoff-bound opponents in the final month of the regular season, where effort levels create the largest disparities between teams.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Portland Trail Blazers have a 40-33-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.8% ATS win rate over 73 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 4.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 54.8% ATS win rate in this spot exceeds the breakeven threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Trail Blazers' 54.8% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is above the typical 50% league average expected in spread betting. Their 4.6% ROI indicates they've consistently provided value in this underdog range over the 10-year period.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.