The Portland Trail Blazers show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 17-14-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.7%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record17-14-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size31 games
ROI+4.7%
Units Won+1.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-2-00.0%-100.0%
20154-2-00.0%+27.3%
20161-2-00.0%-36.4%
20181-0-00.0%+90.9%
20193-2-00.0%+14.6%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20214-1-00.0%+52.7%
20220-3-00.0%-100.0%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Trail Blazers' solid performance against division rivals at home stems from their historically strong connection with the Moda Center crowd and the franchise's ability to elevate their play in meaningful games. Portland has always thrived on the energy of their passionate fanbase, particularly when facing familiar Western Conference foes like the Lakers, Clippers, Warriors, Kings, and Suns. These matchups carry extra weight due to playoff positioning implications and the frequency of meetings, creating a playoff-like atmosphere that brings out the best in Portland's core players. The psychological edge becomes pronounced when facing teams they know intimately. Division games feature extensive scouting and preparation, but Portland's coaching staff has consistently excelled at making in-game adjustments at home. The familiarity works both ways, but the Trail Blazers benefit from having the last change and crowd momentum during crucial stretches. Their recent form suggests this trend remains intact despite roster changes. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Portland faces division rivals coming off extended road trips or back-to-back situations, as the home court advantage amplifies significantly. This trend carries the most weight during the final two months of the regular season when division standings directly impact playoff seeding and every game intensifies.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The Portland Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 17-14-0 when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a solid 54.8% ATS win rate over 31 games.

Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as home vs division rival profitable?

Yes, betting on the Trail Blazers at home vs division rivals has been profitable with a 4.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the modest return, this represents consistent value over the 10-year sample.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Trail Blazers' 54.8% ATS win rate in this situation is above the typical 50% break-even point for ATS betting. The 4.7% ROI also exceeds what most bettors achieve long-term, making this a historically profitable trend.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.