Portland Trail Blazers As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 93-144-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -25.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +25.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-13-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 7-6-0 | 0.0% | +2.8% |
| 2016 | 12-17-0 | 0.0% | -21.0% |
| 2017 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2018 | 9-11-0 | 0.0% | -14.1% |
| 2019 | 5-14-0 | 0.0% | -49.8% |
| 2020 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2021 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2022 | 6-19-0 | 0.0% | -54.2% |
| 2023 | 11-11-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' struggles as favorites stem from a franchise culture that has consistently prioritized offensive firepower over defensive consistency. Portland's identity has long been built around high-scoring guards and wings who thrive in up-tempo situations, but this style creates inherent volatility that makes covering spreads difficult when expectations are elevated. When Portland enters games as favorites, they often face opponents playing with nothing to lose while carrying the psychological burden of meeting inflated expectations. The Blazers' defensive deficiencies become magnified in these spots, as underdogs frequently exploit their tendency to allow easy baskets in transition and struggle with interior defense. Their offensive-minded approach works better as underdogs when they can simply outscore opponents without worrying about controlling games. The franchise's frequent roster turnover and coaching changes have also prevented the development of a consistent identity that performs well under pressure. Portland's players often seem more comfortable in the underdog role where they can play freely rather than managing leads and executing in clutch situations. This trend matters most when Portland is favored at home against teams with strong defensive metrics, particularly those playing on the second night of back-to-backs when the Blazers' pace advantage is neutralized.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as as favorite?
The Portland Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 93-144-0 when favored from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 39.2% of games. This represents a significantly poor performance against the spread when expected to win.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as favorites has not been profitable, showing a -25.1% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This means bettors would have lost approximately 25 cents for every dollar wagered on Portland when they were favored.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well below the league average, as favorites typically cover the spread around 50% of the time. Portland's 39.2% ATS rate as favorites represents one of the worst performances in the NBA during this timeframe.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.