Portland Trail Blazers Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 20-22-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.1% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.1%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2016 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2017 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2021 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' struggles against division rivals on the road stem from a combination of heightened competitive intensity and Portland's historically inconsistent defensive identity. Division games carry extra weight due to playoff implications and familiarity between teams, creating environments where every possession matters more. Road venues become particularly hostile when facing Northwest Division foes like Denver, Utah, Minnesota, and Oklahoma City, where altitude, crowd energy, and tactical adjustments compound Portland's challenges. Portland's offensive-minded culture, built around dynamic guard play throughout different eras, often clashes with the grittier, more physical style that division rivals employ in these crucial matchups. Teams know Portland's tendencies intimately after multiple meetings per season, allowing them to exploit defensive weaknesses and force the Blazers into uncomfortable half-court situations away from their preferred pace. The psychological factor cannot be understated - division road games represent measuring stick moments where Portland's playoff aspirations are tested most severely. When the Blazers lack defensive depth or cohesion, these games expose those flaws ruthlessly. This trend matters most during the final two months of the regular season when playoff positioning intensifies and division standings carry tiebreaker implications.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Portland Trail Blazers have a 20-22-0 ATS record when playing away games against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.6% ATS win rate over 42 total games.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as away underdogs against division rivals is not profitable. The team has generated a -9.1% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would lose money consistently backing Portland in these situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is below the theoretical 50% break-even point for ATS betting. The 47.6% win rate and negative ROI indicates Portland has consistently failed to cover spreads in away division rivalry games more often than expected.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.