The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 20-44-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -40.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +40.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record20-44-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size64 games
ROI-40.3%
Units Won-25.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-4-00.0%-18.2%
20150-1-00.0%-100.0%
20162-6-00.0%-52.3%
20172-4-00.0%-36.4%
20181-4-00.0%-61.8%
20191-4-00.0%-61.8%
20200-3-00.0%-100.0%
20212-6-00.0%-52.3%
20222-6-00.0%-52.3%
20233-3-00.0%-4.5%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Trail Blazers' struggles as road favorites after losses stem from a franchise culture that has historically prioritized development over immediate results. When Portland loses a game and then travels as a favorite, they're often facing teams desperate for wins while the Blazers lack the killer instinct of championship-caliber organizations. This dynamic creates a perfect storm where Portland enters with deflated confidence while their opponents smell opportunity. Portland's roster construction over the past decade has emphasized young talent and rebuilding phases, meaning they frequently lack the veteran leadership necessary to bounce back strongly on the road. Road favorites need mental toughness and the ability to impose their will early, but the Trail Blazers have consistently shown they're more comfortable as underdogs or at home where crowd energy can mask their inconsistencies. The psychological burden of being favored after a loss creates additional pressure that Portland's developing players haven't handled well historically. They're expected to dominate, but their recent defeat lingers in their minds, leading to tentative play and slow starts that allow inferior teams to gain confidence. Bettors should target this spot when Portland faces teams with strong home records or clubs fighting for playoff positioning, as the motivational edge heavily favors their opponents.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Portland Trail Blazers have a 20-44-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 31.3% ATS win rate over 64 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as away favorites after a loss is not profitable. This trend shows a -40.3% ROI with zero wins against the spread in 44 losses, making it a historically poor betting situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 48-52% of spreads in similar situations. The Trail Blazers' 0% ATS win rate in this specific scenario represents an extreme negative outlier.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.