Portland Trail Blazers After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Portland Trail Blazers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Portland Trail Blazers are just 109-118-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 11-14-0 | 0.0% | -16.0% |
| 2015 | 10-13-0 | 0.0% | -17.0% |
| 2016 | 13-13-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2018 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2019 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
| 2020 | 6-9-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2022 | 10-14-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
| 2023 | 14-6-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2024 | 10-6-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Trail Blazers' historically poor performance against the spread following losses stems from a franchise culture that has consistently struggled with emotional regulation and tactical adjustments. Portland teams have often featured high-usage offensive stars like Damian Lillard who tend to overcorrect after disappointing performances, leading to forced shots and disrupted offensive flow in bounce-back attempts. This creates inflated expectations from oddsmakers who anticipate strong responses that rarely materialize consistently. The organization's coaching instability over this period has compounded the issue, as frequent system changes prevented the development of reliable post-loss protocols. Portland's roster construction has typically emphasized offensive talent over defensive versatility, making it difficult to implement the tactical adjustments that successful bounce-back performances often require. When trailing in games or facing adversity, these Blazers teams have historically relied on individual brilliance rather than systematic improvements. The recent uptick suggests current management may have addressed some of these underlying issues, but the sample size remains limited. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Portland as road favorites after losses, where the combination of hostile environments and emotional pressure has proven most problematic. This trend carries the most weight during playoff races when external expectations peak.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Portland Trail Blazers's ATS record as after a loss?
The Portland Trail Blazers have an ATS record of 109-118-0 after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.0% ATS win rate in bounce-back situations.
Is betting on the Portland Trail Blazers as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Trail Blazers after a loss has not been profitable, showing a -8.3% ROI over the 10-year period. This indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Trail Blazers' 48.0% ATS win rate after losses is below the expected 50% break-even point. This suggests they struggle more than average teams when trying to bounce back from defeats.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.