Zion Williamson shows a modest edge on blocks props with one day rest, hitting overs at a 53.1% clip (17-15 record) while averaging 0.81 blocks against a typical 0.56 line. The +0.25 differential suggests consistent value, though the minimal 1.4% ROI indicates this edge requires selective application rather than blind backing.
Expert Analysis
Williamson's blocks advantage on one day rest stems from his improved defensive positioning and energy levels when not playing back-to-back games. The 0.81 average represents a 45% increase over his typical line, driven by his ability to use his exceptional athleticism more effectively when properly rested. His unique combination of size, speed, and timing allows him to impact shots at the rim more consistently when his legs are fresh. The 53.1% over rate across 32 games provides meaningful sample size, though the modest ROI suggests books have adjusted somewhat to this pattern. The trend appears most reliable when facing teams that attack the paint frequently, as Williamson's shot-blocking comes primarily from help defense rather than individual matchups. However, his foul trouble tendencies can limit minutes, and matchups against perimeter-heavy offenses reduce his blocking opportunities significantly. The recent streak of one over suggests potential variance, but the underlying rest advantage remains fundamentally sound given his physical style of play.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The consistent 0.25 differential above the line and 53.1% hit rate indicate legitimate value when Williamson has proper rest. Target this prop specifically against teams that generate high paint attempts and when the line sits at 0.5 blocks. The main risk is foul trouble limiting his minutes, but the rest advantage typically outweighs this concern in favorable matchups.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2025-03-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-03-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Zion Williamson's Blocks prop record 1 day rest?
Williamson's blocks prop record with one day rest stands at 17-15 (53.1% overs) across 32 games from November 2023 to March 2025, showing a slight but consistent edge over the betting market's expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Zion Williamson Blocks 1 day rest?
Lean over on Williamson's blocks props with one day rest, particularly when the line is 0.5 blocks and facing paint-attacking teams. His 0.81 average versus 0.56 typical line creates measurable value despite modest overall ROI.
What's Zion Williamson's average Blocks 1 day rest?
Williamson averages 0.81 blocks with one day rest compared to the typical 0.56 line, representing a significant +0.25 differential that translates to roughly 45% more production than the market expects in this situation.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Williamson blocks props when he has one day rest against teams with high paint attack rates. Avoid when facing perimeter-heavy offenses or when he's in foul trouble early, as these factors negate his rest advantage.