Wendell Carter Jr.'s blocks prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 40% overs across his last 10 games with a brutal -23.6% ROI on the over side. Currently riding a five-game under streak, the Magic center is averaging 0.4 blocks against a 0.5 line, making the under the clear play.
Expert Analysis
Carter's blocks production has fallen off a cliff, and the numbers tell a compelling story about role changes in Orlando's frontcourt rotation. Averaging just 0.4 blocks per game over this 10-game stretch represents a significant decline from his career norms, suggesting either reduced defensive responsibility or simply poor shot-blocking variance. The five-game under streak isn't just bad luck—it reflects a player whose rim protection impact has diminished. What makes this trend particularly reliable is Carter's consistency in failing to reach the 0.5 threshold, hitting the over in only 4 of 10 contests. The -0.1 differential between his average and the line creates immediate value, while the 14.6% ROI on unders demonstrates sustainable profit potential. Carter's role as Orlando's primary center should theoretically generate blocks opportunities, but his positioning and the team's defensive scheme appear to be limiting his shot-blocking chances. Without significant matchup-dependent factors to suggest imminent regression, this trend appears rooted in fundamental changes to how Carter operates defensively rather than temporary variance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Carter's 0.4 average against a 0.5 line creates clear mathematical value, supported by a five-game under streak and strong under ROI. The trend appears sustainable given his reduced rim protection role, though the small sample size prevents high confidence. Target this prop when Carter faces teams that attack the rim less frequently or when Orlando's pace suggests fewer defensive possessions.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Wendell Carter Jr.'s Blocks prop record last 10 games?
Carter has gone 4-6-0 on his blocks over/under in his last 10 games, hitting just 40% overs. The under has been significantly more profitable with a 14.6% ROI compared to the over's brutal -23.6% return.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Wendell Carter Jr. Blocks last 10 games?
Bet the under on Carter's blocks prop. He's averaging 0.4 blocks against a 0.5 line while riding a five-game under streak, creating clear mathematical value for under bettors with proven profitability.
What's Wendell Carter Jr.'s average Blocks last 10 games?
Carter is averaging 0.4 blocks per game over his last 10 contests, which sits 0.1 blocks below the typical 0.5 line. This negative differential has created consistent value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Carter's blocks under when facing teams with lower rim attack rates or when Orlando plays at slower pace. The prop works best when defensive possessions are limited and Carter's rim protection opportunities decrease.