Tyus Jones has been a consistent under performer on three-pointers made props, hitting the over just 40% of the time across 60 games with a 24-36-0 record. The under has delivered a solid 14.6% ROI while overs have lost 23.6%. This presents a clear lean under opportunity.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Tyus Jones's three-point shooting props. At 1.58 makes per game against a typical 1.5 line, Jones appears to be priced fairly, but the 40% over rate reveals the market's persistent overvaluation of his deep shooting volume. The 14.6% ROI on unders demonstrates genuine edge, while the -23.6% over ROI confirms bettors are consistently paying too much. Jones's role as a pass-first point guard naturally limits his three-point attempts, making him more likely to prioritize ball movement over shot creation. The eight-game under streak in his recent history suggests this isn't random variance but reflects his actual usage patterns. Washington's pace and offensive system likely contribute to this trend, with Jones functioning more as a facilitator than a volume shooter. The consistency of this pattern across 60 games provides substantial sample size confidence, and the fact that his average sits just barely above the line means even slight game-to-game variance in shot selection can easily push him under. This trend appears sustainable given his defined role and the market's apparent inability to properly adjust the line downward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 60% under rate and positive 14.6% ROI on unders creates legitimate value, especially when Jones's facilitator role naturally limits his three-point volume. Target games where Washington faces strong defensive teams that could further reduce his shot attempts. Main risk is a potential role expansion or hot shooting streak that could temporarily inflate his numbers.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 5.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 6.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyus Jones's 3-Pointers Made prop record all games?
Tyus Jones has gone over his three-pointers made prop in just 24 of 60 games (40%) with an under record of 36-24-0. His under bets have generated a 14.6% ROI while overs have lost 23.6% of investment.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyus Jones 3-Pointers Made all games?
Bet under on Tyus Jones three-pointers made props. The 60% under rate and 14.6% ROI on unders shows clear value, especially given his pass-first role that naturally limits his shooting volume compared to market expectations.
What's Tyus Jones's average 3-Pointers Made all games?
Tyus Jones averages 1.58 three-pointers made per game against typical 1.5 lines, creating just a +0.1 differential. This narrow margin above the line makes unders attractive when his facilitator role reduces shot attempts.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tyus Jones three-point unders when Washington faces strong defensive teams or in games with slower projected pace. His eight-game under streak suggests sustained patterns, making any game a potential under opportunity given his role.