Tyus Jones has been a consistent under performer on rebounding props in away games, hitting just 31.0% of overs with a brutal 9-20-0 record. The Washington point guard averages 2.21 rebounds per away game against a typical 2.67 line, creating a -0.5 differential that screams value on the under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of a point guard whose rebounding struggles intensify on the road. Jones's 2.21 away rebounding average sits significantly below his typical line of 2.67, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his road limitations. As a traditional floor general standing just 6'1", Jones prioritizes facilitating over crashing boards, and this tendency becomes more pronounced in hostile environments where he focuses on controlling pace and limiting turnovers. The -40.8% ROI on overs versus +31.7% on unders demonstrates consistent market inefficiency. His current two-game under streak aligns with a longer pattern of road rebounding struggles, including a six-game under streak that highlights his floor. The lack of split data actually works in our favor here, as it suggests this trend hasn't been widely identified by the market. Road games typically feature different rotations and matchups that can limit a point guard's rebounding opportunities, especially for someone of Jones's size and role. The 29-game sample provides robust data showing this isn't just variance but a genuine edge in the market.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 31.0% over rate and -0.5 average differential create legitimate value on Tyus Jones rebounding unders in away games. Target this prop when the line sits at 2.5 or higher, as Jones's 2.21 road average gives solid cushion. The main risk is small sample variance and potential role changes, but the consistent underperformance pattern makes this a profitable long-term angle.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyus Jones's Rebounds prop record away games?
Tyus Jones has gone 9-20-0 on rebounding overs in away games, hitting just 31.0% of his props. He averages 2.21 rebounds per road game across a 29-game sample from October 2023 through March 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyus Jones Rebounds away games?
Bet the UNDER on Tyus Jones rebounding props in away games. His 31.0% over rate and -0.5 differential from typical lines create consistent value, especially when the number sits at 2.5 or higher.
What's Tyus Jones's average Rebounds away games?
Tyus Jones averages 2.21 rebounds in away games compared to typical lines around 2.67. This -0.5 differential represents significant value, as he consistently falls short of market expectations on the road.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tyus Jones rebounding unders when Washington plays away games with lines at 2.5 or higher. The 6'1" point guard's road limitations become most exploitable against bigger opposing backcourts that limit his rebounding opportunities.