Tyus Jones shows minimal edge in away assists props with a dead-even 16-16 record and modest 0.6 assist differential above the line. The 50% over rate with negative ROI on both sides suggests efficient market pricing. This is a clear pass situation with no identifiable betting advantage.
Expert Analysis
The Tyus Jones away assists market demonstrates textbook efficient pricing across 32 games. His 7.47 average against a 6.84 line creates a seemingly attractive 0.6 differential, but the perfect 16-16 split reveals books have accurately adjusted for his road performance. The negative ROI on both sides (-4.5% each way) indicates the juice is eating into any perceived edge. Jones's role as Washington's primary facilitator remains consistent regardless of venue, eliminating the typical home/road variance seen with role players. His assist production correlates more with game pace and opponent defensive schemes than location factors. The absence of meaningful streaks beyond eight games suggests random variance rather than exploitable patterns. Without split data showing specific matchup advantages or situational spots where Jones exceeds expectations, this becomes a coin flip proposition where the house edge makes both sides unprofitable. The market has efficiently priced in his road assist production, leaving no clear angle for consistent profit. Smart money avoids perfectly balanced props where books have eliminated edge through accurate line-setting.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. The dead-even 16-16 record with negative ROI on both sides screams efficient market pricing. While Jones averages 0.6 assists above the line on the road, books have clearly adjusted for this differential. Without identifiable spots where he consistently exceeds or falls short of expectations, this becomes a pure gambling proposition where the juice eliminates any perceived edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | OPP | 8.5 | 8.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 8.5 | 9.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 8.5 | 16.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-04 | OPP | 9.5 | 6.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 9.5 | 9.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-29 | OPP | 9.5 | 11.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-23 | OPP | 8.5 | 6.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 14.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 7.5 | 15.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 7.5 | 16.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-29 | OPP | 8.5 | 9.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-27 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-18 | OPP | 6.5 | 15.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Assists Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyus Jones's Assists prop record away games?
Tyus Jones has gone 16-16 on assists overs in away games, hitting exactly 50% with a 7.47 average against a 6.84 line. The perfect split across 32 games shows efficient market pricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyus Jones Assists away games?
Pass on both sides. The dead-even 16-16 record with negative ROI (-4.5%) on overs and unders indicates books have efficiently priced this market, eliminating any betting edge.
What's Tyus Jones's average Assists away games?
Jones averages 7.47 assists in away games, running 0.6 above the typical 6.84 line. However, this differential hasn't translated to profitable betting opportunities given the balanced results.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid Tyus Jones assists props entirely in away games. The efficient market pricing shown by the 16-16 split means there's no identifiable edge regardless of timing or conditions.