Tyrese Nelson's Points props all games have been a mixed bag. In 156 games, he's hit the over 52.7% of the time, averaging 18.16 against a 18.22 line. The -0.06 differential suggests no strong lean either way— look for additional edges before betting this spot.

The Numbers: 78-70-8 O/U

52.7% Over Rate
18.16 Avg PTS
18.22 Avg Line
-0.1 Avg vs Line
+0.6% Over ROI
156 Games
OVER 52.7%
UNDER 47.3%
⚖️ Verdict: Coin Flip

Performance vs Line

Line shows prop line, bars show actual performance. Green = Over, Red = Under.

Game Log (Last 0 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result

Showing most recent games. View full game log →

Situational Splits

Home vs Away

Home 53.1% Over (34-30)
Away 52.4% Over (44-40)

By Line Range

Line ≤ 17.0 73.1% Over
Line > 17.0 35.8% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 60.0% Over (3-2)
Last 10 60.0% Over (6-4)

Why This Trend Exists

Analysis coming soon. This trend shows interesting patterns worth monitoring.

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📊 No Clear Edge Here

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tyrese Nelson's Points prop record all games?

Tyrese Nelson has gone OVER on points props in 78 of 156 games (52.7%) all games. The full O/U record is 78-70-8.

Should I bet the OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Nelson Points?

Based on historical data, the OVER has been more profitable. The OVER has returned +0.6% ROI while the UNDER has returned -9.7% ROI in this spot.

What's Tyrese Nelson's average Points all games?

Tyrese Nelson averages 18.16 points all games, compared to an average prop line of 18.22. That's a differential of -0.1 vs the number.

How reliable is this Points trend for Tyrese Nelson?

This trend is based on 156 games. With 20+ games, this is a reliable sample size. The data spans from 2020-10-06 to 2025-06-25.

Methodology

This analysis covers 156 games from 2020-10-06 to 2025-06-25. Over/Under results are calculated using closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice on all bets. Pushes are excluded from percentage calculations.

Last Updated: February 04, 2026