Tyrese Maxey's rebounding props present a clear under opportunity with a 40.3% over rate across 62 games and a devastating 9-game under streak currently active. The 76ers guard averages 3.5 rebounds against a 3.65 line, creating consistent value on the under side.
Expert Analysis
Tyrese Maxey's rebounding struggles stem from his role as Philadelphia's primary ball-handler and perimeter scorer, keeping him away from the glass consistently. At 6'2" and playing significant minutes at point guard, Maxey naturally defers rebounding duties to Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris, and the frontcourt rotation. The -0.15 differential between his 3.5 average and typical 3.65 line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his limited rebounding involvement. His current 9-game under streak isn't an anomaly but rather reflects his true rebounding ceiling in Philadelphia's system. When Maxey focuses on creating offense and defending the perimeter, grabbing rebounds becomes a secondary priority. The 13.9% ROI on unders versus -23.0% on overs demonstrates clear market inefficiency. Philadelphia's pace and Embiid's presence further limit Maxey's rebounding opportunities, as the center commands defensive boards while teammates like Harris and Paul Reed handle the majority of available rebounds. This trend appears sustainable given Maxey's role and physical limitations.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Maxey's 40.3% over rate and current 9-game under streak reflect his limited rebounding role in Philadelphia's system. The 13.9% ROI on unders versus -23.0% on overs shows clear market value. Target unders consistently, especially when the line sits at 3.5 or higher, as Maxey's 3.5 average creates natural value underneath.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-02-05 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 7.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rebounds Prop Lines
Compare Tyrese Maxey props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Maxey's Rebounds prop record all games?
Tyrese Maxey's rebounds prop record stands at 25-37-0 over/under across 62 games, hitting the over just 40.3% of the time. He's currently riding a 9-game under streak, his longest of the season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Maxey Rebounds all games?
Bet the under on Maxey's rebounds consistently. His 40.3% over rate and 13.9% ROI on unders versus -23.0% on overs create clear value. His point guard role limits rebounding opportunities significantly.
What's Tyrese Maxey's average Rebounds all games?
Maxey averages 3.5 rebounds per game against a typical line of 3.65, creating a -0.15 differential that favors under bets. This gap reflects his limited rebounding role in Philadelphia's system.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Maxey rebounding unders when the line is 3.5 or higher, particularly in games where Joel Embiid plays. His point guard duties and 6'2" frame create consistent under value in most situations.