Tyrese Haliburton's steals prop presents a neutral situation with a 5-5 over/under record across his last 10 games. His 1.5 average barely edges the typical 1.4 line, creating a minimal +0.1 differential that offers little statistical edge. The flat -4.5% ROI on both sides suggests market efficiency.
Expert Analysis
Tyrese Haliburton's steals production over the last 10 games reveals a perfectly balanced market with no clear exploitable edge. His 1.5 steals per game average represents just a marginal improvement over the standard 1.4 line, indicating the sportsbooks have accurately priced this prop. The 50% over rate with identical -4.5% ROI on both sides demonstrates remarkable market efficiency. Haliburton's steal production lacks the volatility typically needed for profitable prop betting, as evidenced by modest streak patterns with a longest run of just two games in either direction. The absence of meaningful splits data further limits our ability to identify situational advantages. For a player of Haliburton's caliber, steals often correlate with pace of play and defensive matchups, but without clear patterns emerging from recent performance, this prop appears fairly valued. The consistency in his defensive activity suggests regression toward his season-long mean rather than continuation of any short-term trend. Indiana's team defensive schemes and Haliburton's role as primary facilitator may limit his aggressive steal attempts, keeping his production within a narrow range that favors neither side of the betting line.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly balanced 5-5 record and identical -4.5% ROI on both sides indicate a fairly priced market with no statistical edge. While Haliburton's 1.5 average slightly exceeds the 1.4 line, the minimal differential and lack of exploitable patterns make this prop unsuitable for profitable betting. Wait for more favorable situational spots.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Steals prop record last 10 games?
Tyrese Haliburton has gone over his steals prop 5 times and under 5 times in his last 10 games, creating a perfectly balanced 50% over rate with no clear directional trend.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Steals last 10 games?
Pass on Tyrese Haliburton's steals props based on recent form. The 5-5 record and identical -4.5% ROI on both sides indicate a fairly priced market with no statistical advantage.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Steals last 10 games?
Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 1.5 steals over his last 10 games, which is 0.1 steals above the typical 1.4 line but represents an insufficient edge for profitable betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Wait for situational advantages like pace-up spots against turnover-prone opponents or back-to-back scenarios where Haliburton might play more aggressively on defense to create steal opportunities.