Tyrese Haliburton's away steals props present a marginal edge with 14-13 over record (51.9%) and 1.26 average versus 1.13 typical line. The +0.13 differential suggests slight value, but negative ROI on both sides indicates market efficiency. This is a lean over situation requiring selective timing.
Expert Analysis
Haliburton's road steal numbers reveal a player who maintains his defensive activity level regardless of venue, averaging 1.26 steals away from home against lines typically set around 1.13. This 0.13 differential represents meaningful value in a market where margins are razor-thin. The 51.9% over rate sits just above the breakeven threshold needed to overcome juice, though the -1.0% ROI suggests books have adjusted appropriately. What makes this trend compelling is Haliburton's consistency as a disruptive force in passing lanes, particularly when Indiana faces uptempo opponents who generate more possessions. His basketball IQ and anticipation skills translate equally well on the road, where some players see defensive focus wane. The current two-game under streak shouldn't concern bettors given his balanced 5-game streaks in both directions, indicating natural variance rather than systematic change. Road environments often feature different officiating tendencies and pace variations that can impact steal opportunities, but Haliburton's technique-based approach appears venue-neutral. The key risk lies in potential rest games or blowout scenarios where fourth-quarter minutes disappear, though Indiana's competitive nature limits this concern.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Haliburton's 1.26 road average against 1.13 lines creates sustainable value despite modest ROI concerns. Target games against pace-pushing opponents where steal opportunities multiply through increased possessions. The main risk involves late-season rest management, but Indiana's playoff positioning makes this less likely in meaningful games.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-03-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-03-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-02-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-02-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrese Haliburton's Steals prop record away games?
Haliburton posts a 14-13 over record (51.9%) on steals props in away games across 27 contests. He averages 1.26 steals on the road versus typical lines around 1.13, creating a +0.13 differential that suggests modest betting value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrese Haliburton Steals away games?
Lean over on Haliburton's road steals props. His 1.26 average beats the 1.13 line consistently enough to create value despite negative ROI. Focus on games against fast-paced teams where steal opportunities increase through higher possession counts.
What's Tyrese Haliburton's average Steals away games?
Haliburton averages 1.26 steals in away games, beating the typical 1.13 line by 0.13 steals per contest. This differential represents meaningful value in steal markets where margins are traditionally thin and consistency matters more than ceiling outcomes.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Haliburton's steals props in road games against uptempo opponents who push pace and create more possessions. Avoid back-to-back situations or potential rest spots late in season when Indiana might prioritize health over individual statistics.